The intense diplomatic negotiations of the past few hours have not produced any progress. Many observers believe that the risk for war is “higher”.
« Impasse », risk of war again “ Higher “: The intense diplomatic exchanges between Westerners, Russians over the past days have not allowed for any relaxation. Even ending with new American accusations of preparations « d’invasion »Russia is acquiring Ukraine
Russian President Vladimir Putin continues to call for NATO to make a written agreement to never integrate the former Soviet republic into their ranks.
The ” maximum pressure »Russia and the United States declare that they are prepared to ” all scenarios », continuation of dialogue or economic and financial reprisals “ massive ».
To close out the week, Ukraine was targeted by a massive cyberattack that blocked a portion of its government websites.
After a diplomatic ballet worthy to the Cold War on Monday and Wednesday in Geneva (NATO), Thursday in Vienna and Thursday (OSCE), Russia decided it was not worth continuing the talks and is now waiting for written answers from them.
American and European leaders refuse to accept all of NATO’s demands. This would, de facto, bring the Old Continent back into the geopolitical equilibriums of 1997 just before the Alliance’s expansion towards Eastern Europe.
American negotiators propose a “Process “Discussions on arms control and limitations to military maneuvers, which are recurring sources of tension, were held longer. For the moment, insufficient to the Russians.
” We are at an impasse. The positions of the Americans and Russia are not compatible as they stand now.This is Melinda Haring’s summary of the American centre Eurasia’s deputy director, in an analysis note.
In fine, « the decision whether or not to continue the talks will be taken by Vladimir Putin and no one at this stage knows”Marie Dumoulin, a specialist on the former USSR at European Council for International Relations, (ECFR), adds that it will decide in which direction.
This week’s diplomatic week is over. unfortunately more likely”Advance Melinda Haring, Washington Expect a ” new exacerbation of the crisis through force »Dmitry Trenin from the Carnegie Center Moscow adds,
“The situation is totally volatile”The ” high risk of war”, also warns François Heisbourg, special adviser to the Foundation for Strategic Research (FRS) in Paris.
Sergei Ryabkov (Russian negotiator) assured Monday in Geneva, however, that Russia did not intend to ” attack Ukraine ». A senior American official however accused Moscow of having allegedly possessed the weapon. prepositioned »Agents in Ukraine will carry out an operation that could be used as a ” pretext for an invasion.