The West has responded to the divisions Russian President Vladimir Putin has sow for 22 years. It has caused division within the EU regarding energy and democracies through financing extremist parties. It has been attacking Ukraine for five weeks. A Ukraine that resists the attack even goes on the offensive. Putin and his generals re-enact the war crimes they committed in Chechnya/Georgia and Syria.The US must strengthen the broad Western alliance it has formed and agree to further sanctions. Ukraine needs more advanced fighters, bombers and tanks as well as anti-aircraft systems. While the West wage economic war against Russia,In the battle for western Ukrainian ukraine and kyiv, the ukrainians only managed to defeat putin with defensive weapons. Along with the European Union and Canada, the United Kingdom of Canada, Japan, South Koreas, Australia, Taiwan, and Canada, the US have been able to place severe sanctions against Russia. The GDP combined of the West coalition and China-Russia is 56 billion dollars. This is more than triple the GDP of China-Russia.. The West should evaluate the benefits and disadvantages of trying as hard as possible to capture Putin or offer him a non-humiliating way out during the negotiations in Istanbul. Putin uses them to buy more time and to reposition his ground troops to the east and south. It is determined to continue its attempts to occupy Ukraine’s eastern third, including a small area between Crimea and Donbas.. Ukraine has made many concessions. kyiv offered to be a neutral, non-nuclear nation whose security would have been guaranteed by a NATO power. There was also talk of delaying the negotiations on Crimea for a while. In reality, there are four million Ukrainian refugees in Europe and six millions displaced persons in your country. We must also add thousands of deaths among Ukrainian civilians to these ten millions Ukrainian refugees (almost 25%) Russia is a long-standing ally of the West. When a city is not under attack, indiscriminate bombardment with artillery or missiles.. Minimum 15,000 Russian soldiers have been killed and 7 generals also died.Cities like Kharkiv and Mariupol are reduced almost to rubble. Putin boasts with his propaganda machine that he has achieved his goals by causing more refugees.Putin will be celebrating his achievements in Ukraine on May 9, the anniversary the victory over Germany in Europe.
The ruble has seen a significant decline in value against the dollar. More than 400 multinationals are now completely out of Russia Or suspended its sales, investments, and supplies. Putin is more dependent on the EU’s 477bn exports than Europe is on its natural gas medium-term.. China narrowly outranked the EU in 2021 to become Russia’s biggest source of imported goods. Russia’s largest source of foreign direct investment is the EU. Russia’s multinationals must leave Russia because shareholders and the population demand it. The Kremlin won’t be able avoid a suspension payment to its foreign creditors. It has frozen its reserve in dollars and euro and neither its central bank nor its financial entities nor companies can issue debts in foreign currency. The Chinese Yuan accounts for 2% of the world’s reserves. However, the sum of all those in dollars and euros is 75%.All trade, financial, and investment sanctions must be coordinated by all allies. Russia has a shortage of goods, and Russians’ savings are decreasing every day. Can be imposed Putin has reached an international agreement that will allow him to keep Crimea, and NATO provides security guarantees for Ukraine until 2026.. In March 2024, presidential elections will be held in Russia and Ukraine. The battlefield will decide the fate of Donbass and southern Ukraine. There won’t be an uprising against Putin. The discontent might be enough to force Putin to restore certain freedoms, and to end the internal repression. If not, His re-election in 2020 will be possible only with North Korean methods. China and Russia are weak in commercial matters, as China can’t and won’t redirect its 3.3 billion global trades. Multiple evidence points to discontentment among the Russian military commanders and Putin.A paradigm shift also occurs when Russia is unable to threaten its nuclear weapons use again, unless it is under an existential threat. The population of democratic countries will suffer if the Russian economy is destabilized. However, it is a cost-effective way to ensure that Putin alters his attitude or resorts more to internal repression. The third paradigm shift occursChinese technological weakness. China must import 90% of semiconductors while Taiwan makes 60%. These include those who make mobile phones, vehicles, consumer electronics, and other cutting-edge technologies. Democracies can defeat dictatorships when they act together. Moscow and Beijing are no option for the democracies, but they must fight to win a victory that isn’t utopian.