So that Ukrainians could leave Donbas, humanitarian corridors have been established. Are there plans for an even greater offensive in this region?
In the short-term, it seems Donbas will be the main focus. The Black Sea port at Mariupol seems to be a high priority. I believe it is possible to make a fresh effort to conquer Kyiv.
Should President Valdimir putin and his Army face trial for war crimes? It will be done.
The International Criminal Court in The Hague would decide whether Putin should be tried and convicted of war crimes. We now know that Putin and other Russian leaders may be guilty of war crimes and possibly even crimes against humanity. Although it is difficult to imagine Putin being brought to The Hague personally, there are precedents for indicting and attempting to try someone absentia. It would be symbolically significant but have no practical consequences.
For many years, UN reform has been advocated by people around the world. The organization was built after World War II with the hope that the so-called “great powers” would get along, and it was understood that if the great powers did not agree, the UN would have a hard time being effective. It is still true today. Although the rules-based order was not based solely on the United Nations’, Zelensky correctly states that it is at risk. Russia, China, and several other major states have rejected the rules that underpin this order and claim that the United States is not always playing by the rules.
The West and the EU have increased their sanctions against Russia in the wake of the Bucha massacre. Are we able to stop further massacres of civilians in other cities of Ukraine by trying to economically strangle Russia?
It is unlikely that Russian politics will be affected by economic sanctions. Sanctions are important because they show the world that Russia is atrocious and that it is being rejected. They make Russia’s war financing more difficult.
Paul D’Anieri, Professor of Political Science and Public Policy at University of California. He is an expert in Eastern European and post-Soviet politics.