China is willing to help Russia fight the Ukraine war with weapons or other aid.
China is likely to provide Russia financial and military assistance. There are reports that China may even be interested in doing so. The public will not be able to see details of the amount of support, which may be lower than the Russian request. Beijing must be careful, because there could be implications for US-China relations. It is in Beijing’s best interest to support Moscow’s war in Ukraine.
If NATO supplies weapons to Ukraine and Russia continues to wage war, will Russia be able win the war?
Russia’s invasion and occupation of Ukraine is not a war to me. It’s a campaign to commit genocide. A few days back, it was clear that the Russian Army had not been prepared to wage war against Ukraine. Thus, the Russian campaign was turned into a terrorist attack against Ukrainian society. And that is exactly where we find ourselves today. NATO support, which began three weeks ago and has continued since then, allowed Ukraine to stop the Russian invasion. While Russia’s plans to win militarily are being thwarted, the invasion of Ukraine is giving Russia more time to destroy Ukrainian society. We may witness the end of Ukraine as functioning nation-state if there is not a significant turn in the tide. Russia could wipe Ukraine from the map.
It’s only a matter time before there’s an attack, random or deliberate, somewhere along NATO’s east flank or anywhere else in the region, like Moldova. Putin is likely to be more aggressive in trying stop the flow of NATO military aid mainly from the eastern side. It is possible that NATO could counterattack Russian-controlled Ukraine in Belarus or within Russia’s western border area, but this would be in an unpredictable manner.
Is it possible to expect a revolt in Putin’s inner circle, if sanctions make economic conditions worse for Russian billionaires?
Although anything is possible, other observers believe that a coup or rebellion by the oligarchs who are totally dependent on Putin for their power and wealth is unlikely. Expect a rebellion to break out from intelligence and military circles. I think back to the August 1991 coup.