Olaf Scholz, leader in the Social Democratic Party, as well as Armin Leschet, leader in the CSU-CDU both reiterated their desire to become chancellor. The negotiations are expected last at most until Christmas.
Will the new German government form in one month like in 2009? Or will it take 172 working days as in 2017 On Monday, September 27, 2009, the Federal Election Commission of Germany announced that the Social Democratic Party (SPD), won. But, there is a new challenge: how to form a government, and elect a chancellor.
Both main formations received a pocket square. A provisional count showed that the SPD, Olaf Scholz’s party, received 25.7% of votes. There was a slight advantage for the CDU-CSU’s conservative group led by Armin Lacet who received 24.1% (the worst performance in its history). The Greens rank third (14.8%), followed by the liberal FDP Party (11.5%), far-right AfD Party (10.3%), Die Linke (4, 9%) and the conservative CDU-CSU party (24.1%).
The SPD and CDU failed to win more that 30% of the votes for the first time since World War II. To secure a majority at the Bundestag (German Parliament), a tripartite deal was required. “We will make every effort to form a government that is in the best interests of the people.” Leadership of the CDU / CSU ”,Armin Laschet declared Sunday evening before his supporters. “Citizens want change,”Olaf Scholz spoke on the ARD television channel. “They want the next chancellor to be the SPD candidate. “
There are a number of coalition options on the table right now. First, a “Jamaican” alliance (green, yellow, black) between the Greens, the liberals of the FDP (in yellow) and the conservatives of the CDU (in black). “This type of coalition could be possible, but it would require the party to win the elections, the SDP.”Marie Krpata, a researcher at the Study Committee for Franco-German Relations, (Cerfa), says this. She also recalls that it was 2017 already. “This type had failed in negotiations”.
Another possibility is the presence of FDP, SPD and Greens members in government. This is what the researcher defines as a “traffic lights” coalition. However, the ideological differences among the three political forms are particularly striking. “On taxation, deficit and debt”Could stand in the way.
The third and last option remains the one chosen during the previous legislative elections in 2017: a “grand coalition” of the two main parties, the SPD and the CDU-CSU. The SPD has rejected the option for now, even if she were to get a small majority of Parliamentarians according to polls.
Armin Laschet, Olaf Scholz and Armin Scholz both want the consultation a success “Before Christmas”. “And I hope that you will live long before”The SPD leader is complete. The talks are expected to be challenging and the ball will now go to the small parties. “The two leaders have the same ambition. The negotiations will certainly last until the end of the year, or even the beginning of next year ”, explains Marie Krpata. Particularly since a tripartite alliance “Would never be heard of at the federal-level”.
The recurrence of interminable negotiations that followed 2017’s election must be avoided at all cost. Germany had been without a government for many months. It had taken six months to reach an agreement on a grand coalition ”Marie Krpata recalls the GroKo.
It’s difficult, in any event, to say at this stage which Angela Merkel successor. “Scholz is very legitimate to become chancellorThe researcher is indicated by a number. He was able to make mistakes and maintain his serenity throughout the campaign.Armin Laschet’s deceptions and “bad publicity” were contrary to what he claimed: during a ceremony paying tribute to victims of the floods that hit North-Westphalia in July last year, the Christian Democrats leader was filmed laughing out loud. He had already used the term to reply to a reporter a few days prior. ” young woman “WDR is the regional channel. This term is considered paternalistic, and sexist. “In these negotiation, he plays a political career.”, Marie Krpata analyzes.
Angela Merkel will be temporarily in charge of current affairs while waiting for the appointment as chancellor. It is on track to surpass Helmut Kohl’s record for the most mandates, and will soon break another record: the longest time in power. She will need to be the head of government for a total of 5,870 more days, which is December 17. It is highly likely that she will reach this deadline.